{
  "meta": {
    "title": "美方各方對台公開立場資料",
    "compiled_at": "2026-05-24",
    "scope": "AIT 處長、現役指揮官、退役將領、國會議員、州政府",
    "editorial_note": "本檔資料僅整理已公開發表之具名發言，不代表本站立場。各方觀點不一致時，多元並陳。"
  },
  "ait": {
    "current_director": {
      "name_en": "Raymond Greene",
      "name_zh": "谷立言",
      "position": "AIT 處長 · 第 16 任",
      "assumed_office": "2024-07-08",
      "background": "前美國駐日大使館副館長（2021-2024）· 三度派駐台灣 · 馬里蘭大學",
      "key_statements": [
        {
          "date": "2025-11-26",
          "context": "回應賴清德 1.25 兆特別預算宣布",
          "quote_en": "A major step towards maintaining peace and stability across the Taiwan Strait by strengthening deterrence.",
          "quote_zh": "強化嚇阻是維護台海和平穩定的重要步驟",
          "source": "Taiwan News 2025/11/26"
        },
        {
          "date": "2025-03-26",
          "context": "玉山論壇開幕致詞",
          "quote_en": "The United States welcomes President Lai's recent announcement Taiwan will increase its defense spending to at least 3% of GDP.",
          "quote_zh": "美國歡迎賴總統將國防支出提升至 GDP 3% 以上的宣布",
          "source": "AIT 官方公告 2025/3/26"
        },
        {
          "date": "2025-03-26",
          "context": "AmCham 謝年飯演講",
          "quote_en": "We have entered a new era of asymmetric warfare, which offers enormous potential advantages for Taiwan.",
          "quote_zh": "我們已進入不對稱作戰新時代，這對台灣提供巨大潛在優勢",
          "source": "AIT 官方公告 2025/3/26"
        },
        {
          "date": "2025-08",
          "context": "與顧立雄部長與國民黨立委會晤",
          "quote_en": "AIT appreciates the KMT's continued partnership in enhancing Taiwan's national security and whole-of-society resilience.",
          "quote_zh": "AIT 感謝國民黨在強化台灣國家安全與全社會韌性上的持續夥伴關係",
          "source": "Taipei Times 2025/8/27 · AIT Facebook"
        },
        {
          "date": "2026-01-22",
          "context": "國防安全研究院 INDSR 演講",
          "quote_en": "Strengthening Taiwan's deterrence is essential for preserving peace.",
          "quote_zh": "強化台灣嚇阻力對維護和平至關重要",
          "source": "AIT 官方公告 2026/1/22"
        }
      ]
    }
  },
  "indopacom": {
    "current_commander": {
      "name_en": "Admiral Samuel Paparo",
      "name_zh": "帕帕羅 上將",
      "position": "美國印太司令部 INDOPACOM 司令",
      "assumed_office": "2024-05-03",
      "background": "前美國太平洋艦隊司令 · 海軍上將 · 駐紮夏威夷",
      "key_statements": [
        {
          "date": "2025-02-13",
          "context": "夏威夷軍事事務委員會年會主題演講",
          "quote_en": "China's aggressive maneuvers around Taiwan right now are not exercises, as they call them. They are rehearsals.",
          "quote_zh": "中國目前在台灣周邊的侵略性軍事行動不是他們所稱的演習，而是預演（rehearsals）。",
          "source": "Defense One 2025/2/13",
          "highlight": true
        },
        {
          "date": "2025-04-10",
          "context": "參議院軍事委員會聽證",
          "quote_en": "China builds combatants at the rate of 6-to-1.8 to the United States.",
          "quote_zh": "中國建造作戰艦艇的速度是美國的 6 比 1.8。",
          "source": "美國參議院軍事委員會聽證紀錄 2025/4/10"
        },
        {
          "date": "2025-04-10",
          "context": "回應參議員質詢台海若爆發衝突的後果",
          "quote_en": "Closing the waterway separating Taiwan from China could be more devastating than the Great Depression in the 1930s globally.",
          "quote_zh": "封鎖台灣海峽對全球的破壞可能比 1930 年代大蕭條更嚴重。",
          "source": "USNI News 2025/4/10"
        },
        {
          "date": "2025-04-10",
          "context": "INDOPACOM 兵力姿態聲明",
          "quote_en": "I remain confident in our deterrence posture, but the trajectory must change.",
          "quote_zh": "我對我們的嚇阻態勢仍有信心，但趨勢必須改變。",
          "source": "Washington Examiner 2025/5/6"
        },
        {
          "date": "2025-04",
          "context": "兵力規模對比",
          "quote_en": "China conducted exercise with 42 brigades, 150 navy vessels, 200 amphibious assault craft practicing breach of obstacles.",
          "quote_zh": "中國 2024 年夏季演習動員 42 個旅、150 艘海軍艦艇、200 艘登陸艇練習突破障礙。",
          "source": "Defense One 2025/2/13"
        }
      ]
    }
  },
  "retired_admirals": [
    {
      "name_en": "Admiral Philip Davidson (Ret.)",
      "name_zh": "戴維森 退役上將",
      "position": "前 INDOPACOM 司令（2018-2021）",
      "famous_for": "「Davidson Window」2027 預警",
      "key_statements": [
        {
          "date": "2021-03-09",
          "context": "參議院軍事委員會聽證",
          "quote_en": "I worry that they're accelerating their ambitions to supplant the United States and our leadership role. The threat is manifest during this decade, in fact, in the next six years.",
          "quote_zh": "我擔心中國正加速取代美國的領導角色。威脅在這個十年內就會具現化，事實上是在未來六年內（即 2027 前）。",
          "source": "美國參議院軍事委員會聽證 2021/3/9",
          "highlight": true,
          "fact_check_note": "此即著名「Davidson Window」原始發言，引發各界對 2027 預警的廣泛討論。"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "name_en": "Admiral John Aquilino (Ret.)",
      "name_zh": "阿基里諾 退役上將",
      "position": "前 INDOPACOM 司令（2021-2024）",
      "key_statements": [
        {
          "date": "2024-03-20",
          "context": "美國眾議院軍事委員會聽證",
          "quote_en": "All indications point to the PLA meeting President Xi Jinping's directive to be ready to invade Taiwan by 2027.",
          "quote_zh": "所有跡象顯示 PLA 正按照習近平指示，準備在 2027 年前具備入侵台灣的能力。",
          "source": "美國眾議院軍事委員會聽證 2024/3/20"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "name_en": "RADM Mark Montgomery (Ret.)",
      "name_zh": "蒙哥馬利 退役少將",
      "position": "FDD 民主防衛基金會資深總監",
      "key_statements": [
        {
          "date": "2025-05-15",
          "context": "在 House 中國特別委員會作證",
          "quote_en": "America's ability to defeat a coercive attack conducted by the CCP against Taiwan continues to shrink.",
          "quote_zh": "美國能擊敗中共對台脅迫性攻擊的能力持續縮小。",
          "source": "FDD 證詞 2025/5/15"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "fact_check_davidson_window": {
    "title": "「Davidson Window 2027」事實核查",
    "context": "美國軍方與情報界對「2027 是否為入侵時程」之分歧觀點，本站並陳",
    "warning_view": {
      "label": "警告觀點",
      "supporters": ["Davidson 上將（2021）", "Aquilino 上將（2024）", "Paparo 上將（2025）", "Moolenaar 議員"],
      "argument": "中共已下令 PLA 於 2027 前具備入侵台灣能力，此為內部戰備時程"
    },
    "skeptical_view": {
      "label": "懷疑觀點",
      "supporters": ["前 CIA 局長 William Burns", "RAND 公司", "Heritage Foundation", "眾議員 Jim Himes"],
      "argument": "『準備好』≠『意圖入侵』；2027 是 PLA 建軍百年戰備目標，非動武 deadline；2026/3 美國情報界更明確改口指中國不打算 2027 動武"
    },
    "neutral_finding": "兩派觀點皆有公開證據基礎。本站建議讀者同時參考兩方論點，避免單一框架。Pentagon 自身內部評估亦多次調整。"
  },
  "key_senators": [
    {
      "name_en": "John Moolenaar (R-MI)",
      "name_zh": "穆勒納爾 共和黨眾議員",
      "position": "美國眾議院中國特別委員會 主席",
      "key_statements": [
        {
          "date": "2025-12-18",
          "context": "發布《Ten More for Taiwan》報告",
          "quote_en": "Xi Jinping has ordered his military to be ready to take Taiwan by 2027 if necessary, so 2026 is an urgent year to build deterrence.",
          "quote_zh": "習近平已下令解放軍於必要時 2027 前準備好奪取台灣，故 2026 是建立嚇阻力的關鍵之年。",
          "source": "中國特別委員會新聞稿 2025/12/18"
        },
        {
          "date": "2025-12-18",
          "context": "回應川普政府 110 億美元軍售案",
          "quote_en": "This sale is an outstanding move by the Trump administration to strengthen the partnership between the United States and Taiwan.",
          "quote_zh": "這次軍售是川普政府強化美台夥伴關係的傑出舉動。",
          "source": "中國特別委員會新聞稿 2025/12/18"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "name_en": "Raja Krishnamoorthi (D-IL)",
      "name_zh": "克里希納莫蒂 民主黨眾議員",
      "position": "中國特別委員會 副主席（首席民主黨）",
      "key_statements": [
        {
          "date": "2025-12-18",
          "context": "《Ten More for Taiwan》報告共同發布",
          "quote_en": "Taiwan is not—and will not be—a bargaining chip with the Chinese Communist Party.",
          "quote_zh": "台灣不是、也不會成為與中共討價還價的籌碼。",
          "source": "中國特別委員會新聞稿 2025/12/18",
          "highlight": true
        },
        {
          "date": "2025-12-30",
          "context": "聯名譴責中共圍台軍演",
          "quote_en": "These drills are intended to intimidate Taiwan and other democracies in the region and to undermine peace and stability across the Indo-Pacific.",
          "quote_zh": "這些演習旨在恐嚇台灣與區域內其他民主國家，破壞印太和平穩定。",
          "source": "中國特別委員會聯合聲明 2025/12/30"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "name_en": "Roger Wicker (R-MS)",
      "name_zh": "威克 共和黨參議員",
      "position": "參議院軍事委員會 主席",
      "key_statements": [
        {
          "date": "2024-02-01",
          "context": "Paparo 提名聽證會開場致詞",
          "quote_en": "Senior defense leaders have stated before this committee that the United States is facing the most dangerous national security environment since World War II.",
          "quote_zh": "資深國防領導人在本委員會表示，美國正面對二戰以來最危險的國家安全環境。",
          "source": "Wicker 官網 2024/2/1"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "us_states_with_taiwan_office": {
    "total_states": 24,
    "summary": "截至 2024 年底，已有 24 個美國州（含關島）在台灣設有官方代表辦事處或委派代表，創歷史新高。",
    "earliest_adopters": [
      { "state": "Louisiana", "year": 1989 },
      { "state": "Florida", "year": 1990 }
    ],
    "phase_2020_2023": ["Arizona", "Guam", "Minnesota", "Montana", "New Mexico", "North Carolina", "Pennsylvania", "South Carolina", "Virginia", "Washington", "West Virginia"],
    "phase_2024": ["Indiana", "Michigan", "New Jersey", "New York", "Ohio", "Texas"],
    "headline_cases": [
      {
        "state": "Texas",
        "governor": "Greg Abbott (R)",
        "action": "2024/7 親自訪台開設「State of Texas Taiwan Office」",
        "trade_value_billion_usd": 25.6,
        "trade_year": 2024,
        "ranking": "台灣為德州第 6 大貿易夥伴",
        "sister_state_since": 1988,
        "key_industries": ["半導體", "石化", "電動車", "綠能"],
        "key_companies": ["GlobalWafers", "Formosa Plastics", "Foxconn"],
        "quote_en": "Texas stands with Taiwan",
        "quote_zh": "德州與台灣站在一起",
        "source": "Texas 州長辦公室新聞稿 2024/7/7"
      },
      {
        "state": "Michigan",
        "governor": "Gretchen Whitmer (D)",
        "action": "2024/3 親自訪台宣布開設辦事處",
        "key_industries": ["移動產業/電動車", "半導體", "綠能", "航太/國防"],
        "source": "Taiwan Business Topics 2024/12/23"
      },
      {
        "state": "New Jersey",
        "action": "2024/5/29 開設 APAC Center · 涵蓋台、日、中、韓",
        "key_industries": ["生技", "物流", "清潔能源", "高等教育"],
        "source": "Asia Matters for America 2024"
      }
    ]
  },
  "congressional_delegations": [
    {
      "date": "2024-02",
      "members": ["Gallagher (R)", "Krishnamoorthi (D)", "Dusty Johnson (R)", "Seth Moulton (D)"],
      "destination": "台灣",
      "purpose": "賴清德總統就職前展現跨黨派支持",
      "source": "Ten More for Taiwan 報告"
    },
    {
      "date": "2025-05",
      "members": ["Moolenaar (R)", "Stanton (D)", "Moulton (D)", "Mast (R)"],
      "destination": "菲律賓、越南、新加坡",
      "purpose": "與印太區域夥伴強化合作以維護台海安全",
      "source": "Ten More for Taiwan 報告"
    }
  ],
  "house_select_committee_ccp": {
    "name_en": "House Select Committee on the Strategic Competition Between the United States and the Chinese Communist Party",
    "name_zh": "美國眾議院中國特別委員會",
    "founded": "2023",
    "leadership": "Chair: John Moolenaar (R-MI), Ranking: Raja Krishnamoorthi (D-IL)",
    "key_reports": [
      {
        "title_en": "Ten for Taiwan",
        "title_zh": "為台灣的十項建議",
        "date": "2024",
        "summary": "原始版本，提出十項強化美台合作與嚇阻中共的政策建議"
      },
      {
        "title_en": "Ten More for Taiwan",
        "title_zh": "再為台灣的十項建議",
        "date": "2025-12-18",
        "summary": "增補版本，回應中共圍台軍演升級與 2027 戰備時程的緊迫性",
        "url": "https://chinaselectcommittee.house.gov/sites/evo-subsites/selectcommitteeontheccp.house.gov/files/evo-media-document/ten-more-for-taiwan-final_0.pdf"
      }
    ]
  }
}